As you are probably aware, I still haven't seen all the Academy Award nominated films. And so I don't have any guesses or my own personal ballot to share. Of those I have seen, however, I think Midnight in Paris deserves awards for writing, directing, and art direction. George Clooney was great, Tree of Life inspired me, and from the bits and pieces I've read and seen of The Artist, I think it will likely win big. So... keep watching the blog as I eventually will see them all and then I'll likely have something to officially say.
Meanwhile, the BBC has a really great visualization/chart of Oscar nominations/wins & genre that I think is fascinating. Check it out here.